Overall, only a few wide receivers make it to age 35 let alone reach 100 targets at that age. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Ive accumulated a 14-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. Its tough to get into elite territory, and Im sure many would take WR1 production, right? Depending on what you want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 years old. He can do everything you would want a running back to do, and hell continue to do so for the Panthers given that hes coming off a freshly-inked contract extension. Unfortunatelyand this is something that analytics seems to consistently misshistory does not predict the future. . It would appear age doesnt make a whole lot of difference to wide receivers, though we do see the number ramp up from their age-21 to age-26 season, highlighting when most are at the tail end of their rookie contract. In his first season with New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and five touchdowns in 17 games. The team will have to decide whether or not to keep Woods at a salary of $15.7 million, release Woods prior to June 1st for $3.6 million in savings, release Woods with post-June 1 for $10 million in savings, or renegotiate a new deal with Woods to lower his salary cap. Kelce's brother, Travis, gets most of the attention in this prodigious football family, but Jason could have a better Hall of Fame case at the moment. The Steelers didnt have a first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, but thats because they spent it on a 23-year-old safety whose 84.4 overall grade ranked sixth at the position after landing in Pittsburgh prior to Week 3. Wide receivers often take time to develop, so it makes sense to see just 81-of-208 (38.9 percent) receivers finish as top-36 options in-between the ages of 21-23, then seeing that number spike to 44.7 percent in their age-24-25 seasons. He is coming off a 2019 season that earned a 96.0 overall grade, and he produced two consecutive seasons with an elite pass-rushing grade (90.0-plus) and over 50 quarterback pressures. Here's a look at the 30 best NFL players in their 30s heading into the 2020 season. If this chart wont do it, nothing will. The wide receiver must have had 50 or more targets to be included in the sample, as this will eliminate players who never get a shot at a young age, and those who fizzled out of the league after a few years. 3. He had a league-leading 159 tackles last year and is entering his age 30 season. Through Week 11, his 91.6 pass-rushing grade ranked first among qualifying edge defenders, and his 25% pass-rush win rate trailed only Joey Bosa and J.J. Watt. Is there a player falling down draft boards due to his age and perceived drop-off? This is the list of rookies with receiving grades of 80.0 or higher on 250 or more routes over the past 10 years: Odell Beckham Jr., Keenan Allen, Michael Thomas, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Doug Baldwin and the two 2019 rookies A.J. He quickly crushed those expectations, turning into the bonified top option in the Redskins passing attack. And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full, Moore hasnt had the best of quarterback circumstances, given that he's had to deal with an injured, duo for much of 2019, but hes been able to produce despite those limitations, putting up a receiving grade over 80.0 across his first two NFL seasons. Like Jamal Adams, James is a versatile defender who can produce high-quality play in all phases of the game, as evidenced by his 80.0-plus grades in run defense, coverage and as a blitzer as a rookie. He had 85 tackles and three interceptions in 15 games at age 30. The 29-year-old found success with the Detroit Lions prior to his Giants stint. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Jackson doesnt get enough appreciation for how solid hes been to start his NFL career. He's entering his age 30 season. Bosas 89.8 overall grade in 2019 ranked third among all edge defenders. There are a lot of things to like about his ability to stick with NFL wide receivers. McCaffrey is the ideal modern NFL running back. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. Campbell is one of the rare defensive linemen who has aged like a fine wine. Youll take that as an NFL team 10 times out of 10. The biggest takeaway while looking at this chart is something many have forgotten after watching a great rookie class in 2019. Big Ben is coming back in 2020 after missing most of 2019 to an elbow injury. He's made two Pro Bowls in four years and had a solid 2019 season at age 30. Which is quite a statement. The Falcons trade Julio Jones for a second round pick, draft Kyle Pitts, save a ton of money, The Bengals part with A.J. Those players do not exist like they did 20, 10, or even five years ago. I have no reason to believe Kupp wont finish out his deal, but seeing him get another contract beyond that is beginning to look like it will be more of an exception than an expectation. Ingram has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls as he embarks on his age 31 season. Updated September 08, 2021 Allen Robinson will be 29 years old in August, and the wide receiver's list of starting quarterbacks he has played with are Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky, Nick Foles, Andy Dalton and a. Sutton stepped into the No. Wide. Again, age-33 is the end for a wide receivers WR1 days, as just two of 56 wide receivers were able to finish as a WR1. The reality is that you cannot adjust this by any measure and suddenly find a bunch of super talented 29+ year old wide receivers who I managed to cherry pick out of this article. Jackson still wasnt a beacon of accuracy, but when you bring the dynamic ability he does as a runner, that simply doesnt matter as much. One question to ponder is where Kupp will be ranked in two years; another is whether or not the top-ranked player in two years is even in the NFL yet. Expect him to put up even bigger numbers in Year 3 with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback in Joe Bradys offense. He would be a low risk high reward type signing if the Packers got him on a cheap deal. This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age-31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. Maybe they went RB-heavy in the first few rounds and want to choose some high-floor options at wide receiver. This list is meant to recognize the young players who figure to be the face of the game for years to come. The fourth overall pick in 2011, Green had every right to at least be the next Andre Johnson. Outside of that, veteran wide receivers are tremendous values. The final question you need to ask yourself is 92% of Julio Jones better than 100% of Amari Cooper in the 4th round of your fantasy draft? The combined number of age-30 receivers among those 43 names: three. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Bryan Edwards, Raiders. Emailed daily. To be clear, Im not telling you a wide receivers body doesnt start breaking down or fatiguing once he gets to a certain age (believe me, that starts before 28 years old), but it doesnt mean they cant produce more fantasy points per game with the experience theyve gained over the years. Then last season, at 31, Julio started to show signs of decline with the Falcons. Its hard to understate how impressive three consecutive seasons of 80.0 overall grades out of the gate is for a player like Garrett. This would prevent us from getting a better idea of how age becomes a factor since we want to identify the wide receivers who were able to sustain some level of relevance throughout the years, Wide Receiver (WR) Age The age of the wide receiver at the beginning of the season, Total Number (#) of Wide Receivers (WRs) This is the total number of wide receivers that played at that age over the past 10 seasons, Total Number (#) of Wide Receivers (WRs) That Hit 100 Targets This column represents how many of the total wide receivers who played at that age hit 100 targets in that season, Percentage (%) Who Received 100 Targets The final column shows what percentage of the wide receivers at that age hit the 100-target benchmark. A person with knowledge of the situation had told . Surely these players would be valuable for many more seasons to come, if history was any indication of what we could expect in the future. Adams has earned grades of 75.0 or higher as a run defender, tackler, pass-rusher and coverage defender in each of the past two seasons at times even serving as the Jets best edge rusher. If youre in a dynasty league and nobody wants those players, take advantage of that. At age 27, Calvin Johnson caught 122 passes for 1,964 yards, setting the single-season record that Cooper Kupp is looking to break in the next couple of weeks. All three players can beat you deep, take a. Dez spent his entire 20s with the Cowboys, peaking in 2014 when he was 26-years-old: 88 receptions, 1,320 yards, 16 TD. Always free! Go back to the year 1999, the season in which Kurt Warner changed everything just so that he could one day inspire a movie that be directly targeted to Brenda and Kurt Warner, and of the 26 players to cross the 1,000-yard threshold, seven were at least 30 years of age: Jimmy Smith*, Tim Brown*, Cris Carter*, Rocket Ismail, Tony Martin, Ed McCaffrey, and Terance Mathis. The first- and second-year wide receivers in particular have great upside for their current ADP . Gambling problem? The gregarious Kelce has established himself as one of the elite tight ends in football over seven seasons. | Together they're the longest-tenured Colts. No wide receiver has finished top-five in their age-21 season. Top-24? Maybe they will. His 17.2% pressure rate trailed only his brother, Joey Bosa, and the aforementioned Smith among rookies with 250 or more pass-rushing snaps over that same time frame. Entering his age 37 season, Rodgers is still going strong in Green Bay. Interestingly, he did it at a high level in both the slot (63% of his routes in 2019) and out wide. He recorded 19 sacks last year. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. The Miracle at the New Meadowlands. From age 28 through 31, we see three of the top four percentages on the chart. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL scouting combine on Tuesday, general manager Joe Schoen said the 29-year-old receiver recently was informed of the decision. For 225 PPR fantasy points per year (roughly top-24 production), the average age was 27 with 80% of peak seasons falling within the age range of 23-30. What trends have we seen in the last 10 years of football? There are things youre told when you start playing fantasy football that you believe to be true. Thomas got back on track in his first season in Baltimore after missing most of 2018 due to a fractured leg. He doesn't often Tweet, but when he does, you can find him on Twitter @sethroto. With the speed Houston now has in its wide receiver room, that figures to be something they could feature heavily in 2020. He also appeared in his third Super Bowl. WRs who were 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown, A.J. As for those contributions on the ground, Jackson has no peers at the quarterback position. Next year is a big year for JuJu to prove last season was an aberration, but were going to give him the benefit of the doubt after two strong seasons to open his career. Moore has earned 62 targets on slant and in-routes since 2018 (fourth most in NFL), and his 94.9 receiving grade on those routes trails only, . Sutton wasnt sniffing this list after a rookie season where he earned just a 63.8 overall grade and dropped nine passes (second most in the NFL). Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Thielen is hoping to rebound in 2019 after he suffered through a nagging hamstring injury last year. That's because in his final season, 1995, he played one game for the Rams as a 41-year-old. He has three 1,000 yard seasons over the last four years as he enters his age 31 season. Lattimore is part of the talented group of secondary players who were taken in the 2017 NFL Draft, and if you look back over his first three years in the NFL, his PFF grade of 84.9 ranks 10th at the cornerback position. The greatest wideout of his era, Brown is an exception to the rule because maybe he brought this decline on himself. Its easy to forget that wide receivers take time to develop after watching guys like A.J. Green (33), and Emmanuel Sanders (34). However, The average NFL career for an offensive lineman is about three-and-a-half years. This slight dip in production followed by a stability period does show that wide receivers in their early 30s who are still producing at a high level probably have a few more years left in the tank. The right tackle has never missed a start in his career and was an All-Pro in 2018. With the kind of production hes put up, its going to be hard for the Packers not to get a new deal done with Clark.
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